Difference between revisions of "Space Resource Generation"

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Roadmap Creators: [https://www.linkedin.com/in/olivierdeweck/ | Olivier de Weck]  
Roadmap Creators: [https://www.linkedin.com/in/lanie-mckinney-915528171 | Lanie McKinney] [Roy Weinstock]  


=Space Resource Generation Roadmap Sections and Deliverables=
=Technology Roadmap Sections and Deliverables=


This technology roadmap has the unique identifier:
This technology roadmap has the unique identifier:


1SRG - Space Resource Generation
2PBOGS - Plasma-based Oxygen Generation in Space
The number 1 denotes that this is a Level 1 technology roadmap at the market level. In reference to our technology, Level 1 encompasses all conversion technologies used in space, Level 2 describes the product level, for example oxygen generation. Level 3, the system level, could reference a solid oxide electrolysis system for oxygen production and Level 4, the subsystem level could represent the material used for the electrode stack.  
 
The number 2 denotes that this is a Level 2 technology roadmap at the product level. In reference to our technology, Level 1 encompasses all oxygen generation technologies that can be used in space, Level 2 is product level. Level 3, the system level, could reference the plasma source needed for conversion and Level 4, the subsystem level could represent the the kind of separation subsystem used.  


==Roadmap Overview==
==Roadmap Overview==


Space Resource Generation refers to the thermal or chemical conversion processes to generate resources in space environments which relax launch requirements, and subsequently enable a range of exploration and commercial activities in space. The commercial space market is set to be valued at ~1.8 trillion USD by 2035, and space resource technologies will be needed to support numerous human space stations, rocket refueling, metal production, etc in Low-Earth Orbit, the Moon, Mars, and beyond. Space resource generation includes both “in-situ resource utilization” (ISRU) and resource recycling technologies, because these two categories of technologies share similar operating principles and may provide different value across different environments.  
Oxygen generation in space is a critical enabling technology to support the development of human exploration of the Moon and Mars. NASA's Artemis program plans to head back to the Moon this decade in a phased approach to build up lunar activity, including a commercial presence, to serve as a proving ground for human missions to Mars. The space industry is set to be valued at ~1.8 trillion USD by 2035, with increasing access to space enabled through the recent reduction of launch costs. Increasingly longer stays off-world at destinations of increasing distance from Earth require technologies that recycle and utilize available resources, called in-situ resource utilization (ISRU), to make large mission architectures feasible and enable dramatic cost-savings. Notably, the most near-term large-scale oxygen demand will be driven by  the Starship HLS vehicle's propellant needs on the Moon. There are other uses for oxygen as well as different resources available to extract oxygen, namely H2O, CO2, and Regolith, which differ between the Moon and Mars.


[[File:Section 1.JPG]]
Non-thermal plasma reactors are emerging power-to-gas technologies with the potential to facilitate various chemical synthesis processes with hardware commonality and redundancy. In plasma-based systems, electrical power is used to ionize a feedstock gas, creating a highly reactive environment that leverages electron excitation chemistry to break stable molecular bonds and produce value-added products. Plasma reactors operate at non-equilibrium conditions, allowing for lower-temperature operation and instantaneous start-up, making them adaptable to intermittent power availability. Unlike other technologies, plasma reactors can process any feedstock gas, and have electrical settings which can be tuned to optimize or favor particular products. It has been demonstrated that plasma reactors can reduce regolith and convert water and CO2 into oxygen {CITE}, which means that plasma-based conversion technologies are extensible to both near and far-term missions at various locations on the Moon and Mars.
 
****input new image here *****
 
[[File:Gec.png|600px]]


==Design Structure Matrix (DSM) Allocation==
==Design Structure Matrix (DSM) Allocation==


[[File:Section 2.JPG]]
[[File: Dsm isru.png|1000px]]


The 2-SEA tree that we can extract from the DSM above shows us that the Solar-Electric Aircraft (2SEA) is part of a larger company-wide initiative on electrification of flight (1ELE), and that it requires the following key enabling technologies at the subsystem level: 3CFP Carbon Fiber Polymers, 3HEP Hybrid Electric Propulsion and 3EPS Non-Propulsive Energy Management (e.g. this includes the management of the charge-discharge cycle of the batteries during the day-night cycle). In turn these require enabling technologies at level 4, the technology component level: 4CMP components made from CFRP (spars, wing box, fairings …), 4EMT electric machines (motors and generators), 4ENS energy sources (such as thin film photovoltaics bonded to flight surfaces) and 4STO (energy storage in the form of lithium-type batteries).
The market level DSM for Oxygen Generation includes candidate technologies which can extract oxygen from a variety of resources available in space, and shows that plasma-reactors can be combined with other conversion technologies for enhanced performance. At the system level, key enabling technologies are the resource acquisition system (3RA), the plasma reactor (3PR), separation system (3SS), and environmental control system (3ECS). At level 4, the enabling technologies include 5 different kinds of plasma sources (3MWPS, 3NP, 3DCHVPS, 3ACHVPS, 3RFPS) which generate plasmas in different ways that have different characteristics, and 3 relevant kinds of separation technologies (3SM, 3VSA, 3CD). The DSM at this level clearly demonstrates the cluster of interdependencies around the selection of the the plasma source and elements of the overall reactor configuration. Different combinations of level 4 elements, like the plasma source, reactor geometry, and separation subsystem may lead to novel performance.


==Roadmap Model using OPM==
==Roadmap Model using OPM==
We provide an Object-Process-Diagram (OPD)  of the 2SEA roadmap in the figure below. This diagram captures the main object of the roadmap (Solar-Electric Aircraft), its various instances including main competitors, its decomposition into subsystems (wing, battery, e-motor …), its characterization by Figures of Merit (FOMs) as well as the main processes (Flying, Recharging).
We provide an Object-Process-Diagram (OPD)  of the 1SRG roadmap in the figure below. This diagram captures the main product of the roadmap (Space Resource Generation Systems), and decomposes the possible common subsystems of level 2 technologies into their level 3 systems (acquisition, conversion, separation stages, control system), its characterization by Figures of Merit (FOMs) as well as the main processes (of Acquiring, Converting, Separating) through a myriad of possible routes.


[[File:Section 3.JPG]]
[[File:ISRU_OPM.jpg|1000px]]


An Object-Process-Language (OPL) description of the roadmap scope is auto-generated and given below. It reflects the same content as the previous figure, but in a formal natural language.  
An Object-Process-Language (OPL) description of the roadmap scope is auto-generated and given below. It reflects the same content as the previous figure, but in a formal natural language.  


[[File:Section 3_2.JPG]]
[[File:ISRU (1).jpg|800px]]


==Figures of Merit==
==Figures of Merit==
The table below show a list of FOMs by which solar electric aircraft can be assessed. The first four (shown in bold) are used to assess the aircraft itself. They are very similar to the FOMs that are used to compare traditional aircraft which are propelled by fossil fuels, the big difference being that 2SEA is essentially emissions free during flight operations. The other rows represent subordinated FOMs which impact the performance and cost of solar electric aircraft but are provided as outputs (primary FOMs) from lower level roadmaps at level 3 or level 4, see the DSM above.
The table below show a list of FOMs that can be used to assess Space Resource Generation Technologies.  
 
[[File:Section 4_.JPG]]
 
Besides defining what the FOMs are, this section of the roadmap should also contain the FOM trends over time dFOM/dt as well as some of the key governing equations that underpin the technology. These governing equations can be derived from physics (or chemistry, biology ..) or they can be empirically derived from a multivariate regression model. The table below shows an example of a key governing equation governing (solar-) electric aircraft.
 
[[File:Section 4_2.JPG]]
 
==Alignment with Company Strategic Drivers==
The table below shows an example of potential strategic drivers and alignment of the 2SEA technology roadmap with it.
 
[[File:Section 5.JPG]]
 
The list of drivers shows that the company views HAPS as a potential new business and wants to develop it as a commercially viable (for profit) business (1). In order to do so, the technology roadmap performs some analysis - using the governing equations in the previous section - and formulates a set of FOM targets that state that such a UAV needs to achieve an endurance of 500 days (as opposed to the world record 26 days that was demonstrated in 2018) and should be able to carry a payload of 10 kg. The roadmap confirms that it is aligned with this driver. This means that the analysis, technology targets, and R&D projects contained in the roadmap (and hopefully funded by the R&D budget) support the strategic ambition stated by driver 1. The second driver, however, which is to use the HAPS program as a platform for developing an autonomy stack for both UAVs and satellites, is not currently aligned with the roadmap.
 
==Positioning of Company vs. Competition==
The figure below shows a summary of other electric and solar-electric aircraft from public data.


[[File:Section 6.JPG]]
{| class="wikitable"
|-
! Figure of Merit !! Unit !! Description 
|-
| Production Rate
| kg/hr
| the rate of generating a target product
|-
| Lifetime Embodied Energy
| MJ/kg
| the thermodynamic sum of past, present and future work required to create, operate, maintain and decommission a system per kg of product produced
|-
| Specific Energy Consumption
| kWh/kg
| total energy required to produce a kg of product
|-
| Purity
| %
| percentage of the target product in separated product stream
|-
| Launch-adjusted Atom Economy
| %
| ratio of mass of useful product generated to the total mass of reactants and launched mass needed
|-
|}


The aerobatic aircraft Extra 330LE by Siemens currently has the world record for the most powerful flight certified electric motor (260kW). The Pipistrel Alpha Electro is a small electric training aircraft which is not solar powered, but is in serial production. The Zephyr 7 is the previous version of Zephyr which established the prior endurance world record for solar-electric aircraft (14 days) in 2010. The Solar Impulse 2 was a single-piloted solar-powered aircraft that circumnavigated the globe in 2015-2016 in 17 stages, the longest being the one from Japan to Hawaii (118 hours).


SolarEagle  and Solara 50 were both very ambitious projects that aimed to launch solar-electric aircraft with very aggressive targets (endurace up to 5 years) and payloads up to 450 kg. Both of these projects were canceled prematurely. Why is that?
===Production Rate===
At it's simplest, a space resource generation technology must meet a demand for a product, described as a production rate. Production rates can be constrained by the performance of the technology itself or also by the available inputs, as space is a resource constrained environment.


[[File:Section 6_2.JPG]]
===Lifetime Embodied Energy===
This FOM is defined as “...the thermodynamic sum of past, present and future work required to create, operate, maintain and decommission a system, including appropriate shares of indirect contributions from upstream systems as well as from other systems in a system-of-systems [https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2018-5125].” This metric has been shown to reproduce results from Equivalent System Mass analyses, the industry standard for trading advanced life support systems, while decoupling from launch mass (which is becoming an outdated cost proxy). While similar in units to SEC, this FOM captures value (as a proxy for cost) across a whole architecture or lifetime. This is an extremely relevant metric to the space industry for determining what the real cost of developing infrastructure and operating a space resource generation technology over longer time periods to identify promising business use cases.


The Pareto Front (see Chapter 5, Figure 5-20 for a definition) shown in black in the lower left corner of the graph shows the best tradeoff between endurance and payload for actually achieved electric flights by 2017. The Airbus Zephyr, Solar Impulse 2 and Pipistrel Alpha Electro all have flight records that anchor their position on this FOM chart. It is interesting to note that Solar Impulse 2 overheated its battery pack during its longest leg in 2015-2016 and therefore pushed the limits of battery technology available at that time.  We can now see that both Solar Eagle in the upper right and Solara 50 were chasing FOM targets that were unachievable with the technology available at that time. The progression of the Pareto front shown in red corresponds to what might be a realistic Pareto Front progression by 2020. Airbus Zephyr Next Generation (NG) has already shown with its world record (624 hours endurance) that the upper left target (low payload mass - about 5-10 kg and high endurance of 600+ hours) is feasible. There are currently no plans for a Solar Impulse 3,  which could be a non-stop solar-electric circumnavigation with one pilot (and an autonomous co-pilot) which would require a non-stop flight of about 450 hours. A next generation E-Fan aircraft with an endurance of about 2.5 hours (all electric) also seems within reach for 2020. Then in green we set a potentially more ambitious target Pareto Front for 2030. This is the ambition of the 2SEA technology roadmap as expressed by strategic driver 1. We see that in the upper left the Solara 50 project which was started by Titan Aerospace, then acquired by Google, then cancelled, and which ran from about 2013-2017 had the right targets for about a 2030 Entry-into-Service (EIS), not for 2020 or sooner. The target set by Solar Eagle was even more utopian and may not be achievable before 2050 according to the 2SEA roadmap.
===Specific Energy Consumption===
This FOM describes the energy required of a chemical conversion process per kg of value-added output produced. It is an energy efficiency metric which can allow comparison between different technologies which may use different chemical pathways. With production rate, these FOM’s can be multiplied to imply a power requirement.


==Technical Model==
===Purity===
In order to assess the feasibility of technical (and financial) targets at the level of the 2SEA roadmap it is necessary to develop a technical model. The purpose of such a model is to explore the design tradespace and establish what are the active constraints in the system. The first step can be to establish a morphological matrix that shows the main technology selection alternatives that exist at the first level of decomposition, see the figure below.
This FOM describes how pure the useful product stream is after separation of the output stream, which is an evaluation of conversion and separation performance.


[[File:Section 7_.JPG]]
===Launch-adjusted Atom Economy===
This is a measure of a conversion technology's sustainability, or its ability to minimize waste streams through recycling available resources. It is launch-adjusted so as to reward better recycling and penalize when resources must be launched to refuel. This metric is relevant for comparing conversion architectures that may involve different chemical pathways which make better use of launched materials and/or not require launched materials at all, and may produce less waste or unusable products. This also aligns with NASA’s space sustainability goals and may support long duration missions where local resources are unavailable or a particular resource is scarce.


It is interesting to note that the architecture and technology selections for the three aircraft (Zephyr, Solar Impulse 2 and E-Fan 2.0) are quite different. While Zephyr uses lithium-sulfur batteries, the other two use the more conventional lithium-ion batteries. Solar Impulse uses the less efficient (but more affordable) single cell silicon-based PV, while Zephyr uses specially manufactured thin film multi-junction cells and so forth.
LaAE = (product mass [kg/mol] ) / (launch + reactant mass [kg/mol])


The technical model centers on the E-range and E-endurance equations and compares different aircraft sizing (e.g. wing span, engine power, battery capacity) taking into account aerodynamics, weights and balance, the performance of the aircraft and also its manufacturing cost. It is important to use Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) when selecting and sizing technologies in order to get the most out of them and compare them fairly (see below).
===Note===
These Figures of Merit are more general than other FOMs used to describe particular technologies, because other metrics will have different fundamental limits which depend heavily on the technology. For example, faradaic efficiency describes how efficiently an electrolytic cell performs compared to theoretical limits, but this would not be a fair comparison to a reported first law efficiency (energy out/energy in) of a thermal conversion process. These FOMs were chosen to compare different space resource generation technologies at the market level.


[[File:Section 7_2.JPG]]
===Governing Equations===
All conversion processes must conserve matter, which is why the available resources constrain the products that can be made. Broadly speaking, all conversion processes require some energy. The first law of thermodynamics ensures that energy is conserved within a system ΔU=Q−W, where ΔU is the change in internal energy of the system, Q is the heat added to the system, and W is the work done on the system. The second Law introduces the concept of entropy (S) and sets limits on the efficiency of conversion processes. The entropy change in a system is: ΔS= Q/T, where T is the temperature at which heat is transferred. All conversion processes can be described by these laws, and fundamental limits on each depend on the mechanism by which the conversion is occurring. It depends on if it is a chemical reaction, or purely a thermal process involving a change of state, or something else.  
===Time Evolution of Figures of Merit===


==Financial Model==
Because many space resource generation proposals require interplanetary travel to the Moon and Mars, at the market-level these technologies are in the initial proof-of-concept phase. The only demonstration of such a technology off-world is MOXIE (Mars OXygen ISRU Experiment) which produced oxygen aboard the perseverance rover [https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abp8636]. But we have been using oxygen generation technologies in space on the ISS which can be modeled over time, though it is important to note that this technology is more advanced compared to other space resource generation systems. Additionally, there are currently very few adopters of this technology (because there are very few space stations), so there isn’t a lot of data.  
The figure below contains a sample NPV analysis underlying the 2SEA roadmap. It shows the non-recurring cost (NRC) of the product development project (PDP), which includes the R&D expenditures as negative numbers. A ramp up-period of 4 years is planned with a flat revenue plateau (of 400 million per year) and a total program duration of 24 years.


[[File:Section 8.JPG]]
Increasing the Launch-adjusted atom economy FOM first became desirable due to the continuous operation of space stations like Mir and the ISS and the expensive cost of launch to supply life-support consumables. The first example is burning alkali chlorate “candles,” a form of solid oxide fuel generation [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vika_oxygen_generator]: 60% of what is launched and used creates usable oxygen, so this leads to an atom economy of around 30%. Introducing water electrolysis to the ISS improved the atom economy, because 89% of what is launched is used as oxygen [https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20230008013]. But because water is also a demand on the crew and this consumes water, it still has to be launched and results in an atom economy of 42%. An atom economy of 47% is achieved with a Sabatier reactor recovering some of the water and reducing the required launch mass, but still does not reach full conversion of CO2, and produces Methane which is currently vented [https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20230008013]. A series bosch reactor, projected to reach maturity by around 2035, has a theoretical SAE limit of 73%, and paired with a carbon utilization technology could increase more [https://www.nasa.gov/spacecraft-oxygen-recovery-scor/]. Plotting the hypothetical maturation date, we see this may be the beginnings of stagnation, because where beyond full oxygen recovery there may be less desire to improve this FOM. The theoretical limit is 100%. In terms of oxygen generation and recovery technologies, it appears to be somewhere between rapid progress and slowing down (shown in the linear trend line) in improving how well we recycle launched oxygen-containing materials into space, approximately equal to about 1.11% improvement in LaAE per year using a linear regression.


==List of R&T Projects and Prototypes==
[[File:dFOMdt.png]]
In order to select and prioritize R&D (R&T) projects we recommend using the technical and financial models developed as part of the roadmap to rank-order projects based on an objective set of criteria and analysis. The figure below illustrates how technical models are used to make technology project selections, e.g based on the previously stated 2030 target performance and Figure 8-17 (see the Chapter 8 of the text) shows the outcome if none of the three potential projects are selected.


[[File:Section 9.JPG]]
The specific energy input required per kg of product has also increased over time, with the updated technologies and additions of reactors in series, but in the case of space station operations where energy can be renewably generated by solar panels, this has been favorable to minimize the launch mass. Interestingly, the decrease in specific energy input for MOXIE offers new value to stakeholders who are not concerned with full oxygen recovery, but instead want an efficient conversion process to scale up production.  


A roadmap shows the R&T/R&D projects and demonstrators that have been (completed), are being (active) and could be (proposed) undertaken in order to progress the technology at the component or system level towards the set targets/goal set by the higher or lower-level roadmap. Please add what is essentially a Gantt Chart with milestones.
[[File:dFOMdt2.png]]


[[File:Section_9_2.JPG]]
==Bibliography==


==Key Publications, Presentations and Patents==
[1] Lordos, G. C., Hoffman, J. A., and Summers, S. E., “Towards a Sustainable Industrial Development of Mars: Comparing Novel ISRU / ISM Architectures Using Lifetime Embodied Energy,” 2018 AIAA SPACE and Astronautics Forum and Exposition, 2018. https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2018-5125
A good technology roadmap should contain a comprehensive list of publications, presentations and key patents as shown in Figure 8-19. This includes literature trends, papers published at key conferences and in the trade literature and trade press.


[[File:Section 10 1.JPG]]
[2] Hoffman, J. A., Hecht, M. H., Rapp, D., Hartvigsen, J. J., SooHoo, J. G., Aboobaker, A. M., McClean, J. B., Liu, A. M., Hinterman, E. D., Nasr, M., Hariharan, S., Horn, K. J., Meyen, F. E., Okkels, H., Steen, P., Elangovan, S., Graves, C. R., Khopkar, P., Madsen, M. B., Voecks, G. E., Smith, P. H., Skafte, T. L., Araghi, K. R., and Eisenman, D. J., “Mars Oxygen ISRU Experiment (MOXIE)—Preparing for Human Mars Exploration,” American Association for the Advancement of Science, Vol. 8, No. 35, 2022, p. eabp8636. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abp8636


==Technology Strategy Statement==
[3] “Vika Oxygen Generator,” Wikipedia, Oct 06 2023. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vika_oxygen_generator
A technology roadmap should conclude and be summarized by both a written statement that summarizes the technology strategy coming out of the roadmap as well as a graphic that shows the key R&D investments, targets and a vision for this technology (and associated product or service) over time. For the 2SEA roadmap the statement could read as follows and is displayed in an Arrow Chart:


'''Our target is to develop a new solar-powered and electrically-driven UAV as a HAPS service platform with an Entry-into-Service date of 2030. To achieve the target of an endurance of 500 days and useful payload of 10 kg we will invest in two R&D projects. The first is a flight demonstrator with a first flight by 2027 to demonstrate a full-year aloft (365 days) at an equatorial latitude with a payload of 10 kg. The second project is an accelerated development of Li-S batteries with our partner XYZ with a target lifetime performance of 500 charge-discharge cycles by 2027. This is an enabling technology to reach our 2030 technical and business targets.'''
[4] Takada, K., Hornyak, D., Garr, J., Keuren, S. V., Faulkner, C., and ElSherbini, A., “Status of the Advanced Oxygen Generation Assembly,” presented at the 52nd International Conference on Environmental Systems, Calgary. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20230008013


[[File:Section 11.JPG]]
[5] “SpaceCraft Oxygen Recovery (SCOR) - NASA.” Retrieved 8 October 2024. https://www.nasa.gov/spacecraft-oxygen-recovery-scor/

Latest revision as of 22:24, 29 October 2024

Roadmap Creators: | Lanie McKinney [Roy Weinstock]

Technology Roadmap Sections and Deliverables

This technology roadmap has the unique identifier:

2PBOGS - Plasma-based Oxygen Generation in Space

The number 2 denotes that this is a Level 2 technology roadmap at the product level. In reference to our technology, Level 1 encompasses all oxygen generation technologies that can be used in space, Level 2 is product level. Level 3, the system level, could reference the plasma source needed for conversion and Level 4, the subsystem level could represent the the kind of separation subsystem used.

Roadmap Overview

Oxygen generation in space is a critical enabling technology to support the development of human exploration of the Moon and Mars. NASA's Artemis program plans to head back to the Moon this decade in a phased approach to build up lunar activity, including a commercial presence, to serve as a proving ground for human missions to Mars. The space industry is set to be valued at ~1.8 trillion USD by 2035, with increasing access to space enabled through the recent reduction of launch costs. Increasingly longer stays off-world at destinations of increasing distance from Earth require technologies that recycle and utilize available resources, called in-situ resource utilization (ISRU), to make large mission architectures feasible and enable dramatic cost-savings. Notably, the most near-term large-scale oxygen demand will be driven by the Starship HLS vehicle's propellant needs on the Moon. There are other uses for oxygen as well as different resources available to extract oxygen, namely H2O, CO2, and Regolith, which differ between the Moon and Mars.

Non-thermal plasma reactors are emerging power-to-gas technologies with the potential to facilitate various chemical synthesis processes with hardware commonality and redundancy. In plasma-based systems, electrical power is used to ionize a feedstock gas, creating a highly reactive environment that leverages electron excitation chemistry to break stable molecular bonds and produce value-added products. Plasma reactors operate at non-equilibrium conditions, allowing for lower-temperature operation and instantaneous start-up, making them adaptable to intermittent power availability. Unlike other technologies, plasma reactors can process any feedstock gas, and have electrical settings which can be tuned to optimize or favor particular products. It has been demonstrated that plasma reactors can reduce regolith and convert water and CO2 into oxygen {CITE}, which means that plasma-based conversion technologies are extensible to both near and far-term missions at various locations on the Moon and Mars.

        • input new image here *****

File:Gec.png

Design Structure Matrix (DSM) Allocation

Dsm isru.png

The market level DSM for Oxygen Generation includes candidate technologies which can extract oxygen from a variety of resources available in space, and shows that plasma-reactors can be combined with other conversion technologies for enhanced performance. At the system level, key enabling technologies are the resource acquisition system (3RA), the plasma reactor (3PR), separation system (3SS), and environmental control system (3ECS). At level 4, the enabling technologies include 5 different kinds of plasma sources (3MWPS, 3NP, 3DCHVPS, 3ACHVPS, 3RFPS) which generate plasmas in different ways that have different characteristics, and 3 relevant kinds of separation technologies (3SM, 3VSA, 3CD). The DSM at this level clearly demonstrates the cluster of interdependencies around the selection of the the plasma source and elements of the overall reactor configuration. Different combinations of level 4 elements, like the plasma source, reactor geometry, and separation subsystem may lead to novel performance.

Roadmap Model using OPM

We provide an Object-Process-Diagram (OPD) of the 1SRG roadmap in the figure below. This diagram captures the main product of the roadmap (Space Resource Generation Systems), and decomposes the possible common subsystems of level 2 technologies into their level 3 systems (acquisition, conversion, separation stages, control system), its characterization by Figures of Merit (FOMs) as well as the main processes (of Acquiring, Converting, Separating) through a myriad of possible routes.

ISRU OPM.jpg

An Object-Process-Language (OPL) description of the roadmap scope is auto-generated and given below. It reflects the same content as the previous figure, but in a formal natural language.

File:ISRU (1).jpg

Figures of Merit

The table below show a list of FOMs that can be used to assess Space Resource Generation Technologies.

Figure of Merit Unit Description
Production Rate kg/hr the rate of generating a target product
Lifetime Embodied Energy MJ/kg the thermodynamic sum of past, present and future work required to create, operate, maintain and decommission a system per kg of product produced
Specific Energy Consumption kWh/kg total energy required to produce a kg of product
Purity % percentage of the target product in separated product stream
Launch-adjusted Atom Economy % ratio of mass of useful product generated to the total mass of reactants and launched mass needed


Production Rate

At it's simplest, a space resource generation technology must meet a demand for a product, described as a production rate. Production rates can be constrained by the performance of the technology itself or also by the available inputs, as space is a resource constrained environment.

Lifetime Embodied Energy

This FOM is defined as “...the thermodynamic sum of past, present and future work required to create, operate, maintain and decommission a system, including appropriate shares of indirect contributions from upstream systems as well as from other systems in a system-of-systems [1].” This metric has been shown to reproduce results from Equivalent System Mass analyses, the industry standard for trading advanced life support systems, while decoupling from launch mass (which is becoming an outdated cost proxy). While similar in units to SEC, this FOM captures value (as a proxy for cost) across a whole architecture or lifetime. This is an extremely relevant metric to the space industry for determining what the real cost of developing infrastructure and operating a space resource generation technology over longer time periods to identify promising business use cases.

Specific Energy Consumption

This FOM describes the energy required of a chemical conversion process per kg of value-added output produced. It is an energy efficiency metric which can allow comparison between different technologies which may use different chemical pathways. With production rate, these FOM’s can be multiplied to imply a power requirement.

Purity

This FOM describes how pure the useful product stream is after separation of the output stream, which is an evaluation of conversion and separation performance.

Launch-adjusted Atom Economy

This is a measure of a conversion technology's sustainability, or its ability to minimize waste streams through recycling available resources. It is launch-adjusted so as to reward better recycling and penalize when resources must be launched to refuel. This metric is relevant for comparing conversion architectures that may involve different chemical pathways which make better use of launched materials and/or not require launched materials at all, and may produce less waste or unusable products. This also aligns with NASA’s space sustainability goals and may support long duration missions where local resources are unavailable or a particular resource is scarce.

LaAE = (product mass [kg/mol] ) / (launch + reactant mass [kg/mol])

Note

These Figures of Merit are more general than other FOMs used to describe particular technologies, because other metrics will have different fundamental limits which depend heavily on the technology. For example, faradaic efficiency describes how efficiently an electrolytic cell performs compared to theoretical limits, but this would not be a fair comparison to a reported first law efficiency (energy out/energy in) of a thermal conversion process. These FOMs were chosen to compare different space resource generation technologies at the market level.

Governing Equations

All conversion processes must conserve matter, which is why the available resources constrain the products that can be made. Broadly speaking, all conversion processes require some energy. The first law of thermodynamics ensures that energy is conserved within a system ΔU=Q−W, where ΔU is the change in internal energy of the system, Q is the heat added to the system, and W is the work done on the system. The second Law introduces the concept of entropy (S) and sets limits on the efficiency of conversion processes. The entropy change in a system is: ΔS= Q/T, where T is the temperature at which heat is transferred. All conversion processes can be described by these laws, and fundamental limits on each depend on the mechanism by which the conversion is occurring. It depends on if it is a chemical reaction, or purely a thermal process involving a change of state, or something else. ​

Time Evolution of Figures of Merit

Because many space resource generation proposals require interplanetary travel to the Moon and Mars, at the market-level these technologies are in the initial proof-of-concept phase. The only demonstration of such a technology off-world is MOXIE (Mars OXygen ISRU Experiment) which produced oxygen aboard the perseverance rover [2]. But we have been using oxygen generation technologies in space on the ISS which can be modeled over time, though it is important to note that this technology is more advanced compared to other space resource generation systems. Additionally, there are currently very few adopters of this technology (because there are very few space stations), so there isn’t a lot of data.

Increasing the Launch-adjusted atom economy FOM first became desirable due to the continuous operation of space stations like Mir and the ISS and the expensive cost of launch to supply life-support consumables. The first example is burning alkali chlorate “candles,” a form of solid oxide fuel generation [ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vika_oxygen_generator]: 60% of what is launched and used creates usable oxygen, so this leads to an atom economy of around 30%. Introducing water electrolysis to the ISS improved the atom economy, because 89% of what is launched is used as oxygen [3]. But because water is also a demand on the crew and this consumes water, it still has to be launched and results in an atom economy of 42%. An atom economy of 47% is achieved with a Sabatier reactor recovering some of the water and reducing the required launch mass, but still does not reach full conversion of CO2, and produces Methane which is currently vented [4]. A series bosch reactor, projected to reach maturity by around 2035, has a theoretical SAE limit of 73%, and paired with a carbon utilization technology could increase more [5]. Plotting the hypothetical maturation date, we see this may be the beginnings of stagnation, because where beyond full oxygen recovery there may be less desire to improve this FOM. The theoretical limit is 100%. In terms of oxygen generation and recovery technologies, it appears to be somewhere between rapid progress and slowing down (shown in the linear trend line) in improving how well we recycle launched oxygen-containing materials into space, approximately equal to about 1.11% improvement in LaAE per year using a linear regression.

DFOMdt.png

The specific energy input required per kg of product has also increased over time, with the updated technologies and additions of reactors in series, but in the case of space station operations where energy can be renewably generated by solar panels, this has been favorable to minimize the launch mass. Interestingly, the decrease in specific energy input for MOXIE offers new value to stakeholders who are not concerned with full oxygen recovery, but instead want an efficient conversion process to scale up production.

DFOMdt2.png

Bibliography

[1] Lordos, G. C., Hoffman, J. A., and Summers, S. E., “Towards a Sustainable Industrial Development of Mars: Comparing Novel ISRU / ISM Architectures Using Lifetime Embodied Energy,” 2018 AIAA SPACE and Astronautics Forum and Exposition, 2018. https://doi.org/10.2514/6.2018-5125

[2] Hoffman, J. A., Hecht, M. H., Rapp, D., Hartvigsen, J. J., SooHoo, J. G., Aboobaker, A. M., McClean, J. B., Liu, A. M., Hinterman, E. D., Nasr, M., Hariharan, S., Horn, K. J., Meyen, F. E., Okkels, H., Steen, P., Elangovan, S., Graves, C. R., Khopkar, P., Madsen, M. B., Voecks, G. E., Smith, P. H., Skafte, T. L., Araghi, K. R., and Eisenman, D. J., “Mars Oxygen ISRU Experiment (MOXIE)—Preparing for Human Mars Exploration,” American Association for the Advancement of Science, Vol. 8, No. 35, 2022, p. eabp8636. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abp8636

[3] “Vika Oxygen Generator,” Wikipedia, Oct 06 2023. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vika_oxygen_generator

[4] Takada, K., Hornyak, D., Garr, J., Keuren, S. V., Faulkner, C., and ElSherbini, A., “Status of the Advanced Oxygen Generation Assembly,” presented at the 52nd International Conference on Environmental Systems, Calgary. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20230008013

[5] “SpaceCraft Oxygen Recovery (SCOR) - NASA.” Retrieved 8 October 2024. https://www.nasa.gov/spacecraft-oxygen-recovery-scor/