Difference between revisions of "Laser Powder Bed Fusion - Metal"

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==1. Roadmap Overview==
This is a technology roadmap for:
3PEM - Proton Exchange Membrane
This is a “Level 3” roadmap, indicating that it addresses a technology at the subsystem level. Higher level roadmaps related to this subject would address technology progression at the market level (Hydrogen Supply) and product level (Water Electrolyzer). A short video summary and introduction to this roadmap follows here.
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=Technology Roadmap Sections and Deliverables=
=Technology Roadmap Sections and Deliverables=


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Financial Model Results in Baseline Case
Financial Model Results in Baseline Case
[[File:R%26D_enhanced_case_3LPB.png|600px]]
 
[[File:R&D enhanced case 3LPB.png|600px]]


According to the R&D-enhanced financial performance model, an increase in the investment rate for R&D expenses will worsen the overall cash flow. However, the sales growth rate is expected to increase due to the improvement in product quality and product performance resulting from the higher investment in R&D. The annual increase in sales is calculated by adding 5% to the sales growth rate. In this way, the increase in sales will exceed the decrease in cash flow, which has deteriorated, and the rate of increase in present value will improve, resulting in a faster positive cumulative present value and an improved NPV. As a result, NPV is expected to increase to $5,276 million, almost double the $2,806 million in the baseline case. The increase in NPV due to higher investment in R&D as a percentage of sales confirms the company's financial value.
According to the R&D-enhanced financial performance model, an increase in the investment rate for R&D expenses will worsen the overall cash flow. However, the sales growth rate is expected to increase due to the improvement in product quality and product performance resulting from the higher investment in R&D. The annual increase in sales is calculated by adding 5% to the sales growth rate. In this way, the increase in sales will exceed the decrease in cash flow, which has deteriorated, and the rate of increase in present value will improve, resulting in a faster positive cumulative present value and an improved NPV. As a result, NPV is expected to increase to $5,276 million, almost double the $2,806 million in the baseline case. The increase in NPV due to higher investment in R&D as a percentage of sales confirms the company's financial value.

Latest revision as of 18:11, 11 September 2022

Technology Roadmap Sections and Deliverables

The clear and unique identifier for this technology roadmap is:

  • 3LPB - Laser Powder Bed Fusion - Metal

This indicates that we are dealing with a “level 3” roadmap at the specific implementation level, where “level 1”and "level 2" would have indicated the over-arching roadmap and “level 4” would have indicated an individual technology roadmap.

In select sections of the roadmap, "3LPB" signifies a fictional company seeking to develop an improved LPBF-M machine.


Roadmap Overview

The working principle and architecture of Laser Powder Bed Fusion - Metal is depicted in the image below.

M400.png

Figure: EOS M400-4 LPBF-M machine (source: EOS)

PD2.png

Figure: LPBF-M Process (source: CustomPartNet)

Laser Powder Bed Fusion - Metal (LPBF-M) is an additive manufacturing (AM) technology that enables the creation complex metal components directly from a digital 3D model without any tools. While the number of available materials is still limited compared to other milling and injection molding processes, LPBF-M utilizes various metals such as cobalt chrome, nickel alloys, titanium, aluminum, stainless steel and copper to generate robust functional prototypes and production parts that are capable of surviving in severe use cases. The LPBF-M technology offers comparable quality to parts made with traditional manufacturing methods, with material properties surpassing those of cast parts and approaching those of billet. It is most widely used in aerospace, medical, motorsports, energy, and molding. Beyond highly-stressed functional components, LPBF-M can be used for producing parts in cosmetic applications, manufacturing aids, small integrated structures, dental components, surgical implants.

The process shares similarities with many other layer-wise additive manufacturing technologies. A program utilizes 3D model data and mathematically slices it into 2D cross-sections. Each section will act as a template that lets the LPBF-M machine know where to precisely create perimeters and cross-hatching. The data is transferred to the LPBF-M equipment. Subsequently, a "recoater" spreads a 25-120µm thick layer of powdered metal to produce a uniform layer over the solid metal build plate. A laser then draws a 2D cross-section on the powdered material, fusing the substrate into a solid. Once a layer is complete, the base plate is lowered enough to make room for the next layer. More material is collected from the reservoir and recoated evenly on the previously sintered layer. The LPBF-M machine continues to create layer upon layer building from the bottom up as the part is built. Support structures are added to part to provide a reinforcement for overhangs, and to prevent thermally expansion from negatively impacting dimensional accuracy. Following printing, the unfused powder is vacuumed from the chamber and the build plate is removed from the machine. Thereafter, the components typically undergo a stress relief and/or heat treatment process to remove residual thermal stresses and improve material properties. Following heat treatment, the next steps are support removal, detachment from the build plate (via bandsaw or wire EDM), and media blasting for final powder removal.


INDST.png

Figure: Industry breakdown for installed metal powder bed fusion machines. This figure includes non-laser powder bed machines but 85-90% of these unit sare LPBF-M. (source: Dr. Maximilian Munsch, AMPOWER 2021 Additive Manufacturing Report)

There is also an environmental advantage in the raw material efficiency of the processes. While the scrap rate for many complex milled parts is over 90%, the scrap rate for LPBF-M parts is typically less than 5%. While milled chips can be recycled, they must be processed offsite using considerable energy. In many cases, the LPBF-M powder can be immediately returned to a machine reservoir following sieving.

A350.png

Figure: A350 XWB cabin brackets (source: Airbus)

The primary deficits of the technology in its current form are slow production rates, expensive machines, and high powder costs due to low volume requirements. The combination of these three challenges results in a high part piece cost. However, with improved performance, elimination of tooling, and reduced lead-time, there are many positive business cases for LPBF-M. In the future, the introduction of high-speed systems with more powerful lasers and larger build chambers is expected to increase the number of viable economically-viable applications that will drive increased demand and scale for LPBF-M systems.

COST2.png

Figure: Cost comparison for conventional manufacturing (CM), additive components, and AM-enhanced tooling. The freedom provided by AM methods like LPBF-M provides entry to design spaces that would otherwise be impractical or impossible to access. (source: Modified from John Hart and Haden Quinlan, MIT xPro "Additive Manufacturing for Innovative Design and Production course," MIT)


The LPBF-M market is maturing with breakthrough applications across multiple industries that provide the justification and institutional know-how to continue growing the technology.

TRND.png

Figure: Metal powder bed fusion machines expected sales show a predicted 6000-7500 units by 2025. This figure includes non-laser powder bed machines but 85-90% of these sales are LPBF-M, bringing the predicted totals to 5100-6750. (source: Dr. Maximilian Munsch, AMPOWER 2021 Additive Manufacturing Report)


SALES.png

Figure: Metal powder bed fusion is responsible for 39% of sales revenue of all AM machines. While significantly more expensive than polymer systems (>2X), LPBF-M sales revenue is reflective of the technology's increasing foothold. (source: AMPOWER 2021 Additive Manufacturing Report)

Finally, LPBF-M is the leading metal AM technology from an industrialization and technology maturity standpoint, yet it still has significant room for improvement, making it the ideal technology for roadmapping.

MATR.png

Figure: LPBF-M leads industrialization and technology maturity indices. (source: AMPOWER 2021 Additive Manufacturing Report)

Design Structure Matrix (DSM) Allocation[edit]

The classification tree below shows us that LPBF-M is part of the larger Additive system. The DSM and tree both show that LPBF-M requires the following technologies at subsystem level 4: Laser (4L), Powdered Metal (4PM), Scanner (4S), Recoater (4R), and Build Chamber (4BC). Each level 3 subsystem also requires enabling technologies shown as level 4 systems.


LPBF-M DSM allocation 2.png


Roadmap Model using OPM

An Object-Process-Diagram (OPD) of LPBF-M is provided in the figure below. This diagram captures the main object of the roadmap (LPBF-M), its various instances including development projects, its decomposition into subsystems, its characterization by Figures of Merit (FOMs) as well as the primary processes.

LPBF-M OPM.png

Figure: Object-Process-Diagram for LPBF-M

An Object-Process-Language (OPL) description of the roadmap scope is auto-generated and given below. It reflects the same content as the previous figure, but in a formal natural language.


LPBF-M OPL.png

Figure: Object-Process-Language for the LPBF-M OPM

Figures of Merit

The table below shows a list of FOMs by which Laser Powder Bed Fusion – Metal, LPB can be assessed. For LPBF-M, the key FOMs for increased productivity are build rate (also called printing speed), build chamber volume, and layer thickness. Additional FOMs such as laser power, laser count, and laser scan speed play a critical role in productivity as well. FOMs on this list can be categorized into four types, productivity, performance, efficiency, and competitiveness. Most of these, including key FOMs, are explicitly related to productivity. Thus, productivity as a FOM would be a critical indicator to evaluate technological progress.


FOMCHARTV2.jpg

Figure: Primary figures of merit for the LPBF-M technology


BRV5.jpg

Figure: Build rate change over time. Printing speed has grown step-wise over the brief timeline of LPBF-M. Today's fastest commercial machines contain up to 12 lasers, have automation provisions for rapid changeovers, and are modularized for quick repairs. In addition to machine type, build rate varies by material, layer height, and machine parameter settings so the plotted data points are representative values. (Source: Machine manufacture datasheets)


NXG.png


CLML.png

Figure: GE Additive's Concept Laser M Line system is highly modularized and scalable. (Source: GE Additive)

Alignment with Company Strategic Drivers[edit] In select sections of the roadmap, "3LPB" signifies a fictional company seeking to develop an improved LPBF-M machine.

The table below shows an example of strategic drivers and their alignment with 3LPB's Laser Powder Bed Fusion - Metal roadmap.

3LPB's roadmap is focused on meeting a wide variety of 3D printer needs, such as rapid prototyping and serial production applications, different surface qualities, and cost reduction by decreasing production time. By balancing the trade-off between surface roughness and time-to-build, and reducing production time and material costs on the part of the user, 3LPB hopes to meet the needs of a large number of users while achieving significant cost efficiencies and productivity improvements. As a result, 3LBP will be able to increase its penetration rate and significantly impact the productivity of each market on a national scale, contributing to stable and sustainable industrial growth regardless of labor shortages and economic conditions.


Alignment-table.png


Positioning of Company vs. Competition

In select sections of the roadmap, "3LPB" signifies a fictional company seeking to develop an improved LPBF-M machine.

The following two figures are a table of the current competitive situation with key FOMs and a representation of our position and the situation of other companies in promoting the above strategy of 3LPB. Some key data/info is confidential, therefore it will be kept blank.

Table: Fictional company 3LPB's technical market positioning. (Source: Machine manufacture datasheets)


POSI.png


The following figure is the Pareto Front of Surface Roughness vs. Build Time for Various Additive Manufacturing Laser Powder Bed Fusion (Metal). Currently, 3LPB is right on the Pareto Front of the two FOMs; however By 2036 the company would like to achieve a surface roughness of less than 6 µm and a build time of 3 hours per 1000 cm³ part.


PF.png

Figure: Current Pareto Front and fictional company 3LPB's intended destination. (Source: Machine manufacture datasheets)

Technical Model[edit] In order to assess the feasibility of technical targets at the level of the 3LPB roadmap it is necessary to develop a technical model. The purpose of such a model is to explore the design tradespace and establish what are the active constraints in the system. The first step can be to establish a morphological matrix that shows the main technology selection alternatives that exist at the first level of decomposition, see the figure below.

Table: Technical Model: Morphological Matrix and Tradespace. (Source: Machine manufacture datasheets)


1.7 3LPB.png


4LSR.png

Figure: EOS M400-4 four laser system. The lasers can either be isolated to one laser per part (i.e. several small parts) or combined into multiple lasers per part (i.e. a large part). Use of more than one laser per part creates a visible seam line that can result in the need for real or perceived additional component validation. (Source: EOS)


The relationship between the parameters of laser power, scan speed, and spot size, and outputs of porosity and surface roughness is viewed as a primary physics-based limiting factor (Zhao 2020, Gee 2020). This is investigated further below.


PWR-SPD.png

Figure: An exponential boundary is created for the threshold between stable melting and keyhole porosity in the Zhao study. Maximum power and speed--without increasing surface roughness beyond the acceptable specification--is the preferred operating window. (source: Zhao 2020)


GEE.png

Figure: Tradeoffs (or operating windows) for build rate as a function of laser power, spot size, scan speed. The color gradient is build rate, the black lines indicate scan speed, and the white lines can be ignored for this discussion. (source: Gee 2020)


Key Publications, Presentations and Patents

Fundamental Patents[edit]

US Patent 4863538

Date: 1989

Assignee: University of Texas

Method and apparatus for producing parts by selective sintering

The original utility patent for laser sintering powder bed polymer which expired in 2007 kicking off the revolution of 3D printing technology advancement.

3DS.png

US Patent 5460758

Date: 1995

Assignee: EOS / 3D Systems

Method and apparatus for production of a three-dimensional object

The first metal laser sintering patent enabled by the work or EOS and the Fraunhofer Institute. As laser power increased, this would transform from sintering to fusing (welding). Expired in 2013, creating increased competition.


EOSP.png

State of the Art Patents

US Patent 10919090

Date: 2021

Assignee: Vulcanforms Inc.

Additive manufacturing by spatially controlled material fusion

This patent is for a LPBF-M machine with a plurality of modulated line-shaped laser systems that provide the potential to rapidly speed production and improve fusion.

[File:LINE4.png|600px]]

US Patent 10195693

Date: 2019

Assignee: Velo3D Inc.

Apparatuses, systems and methods for three-dimensional printing

This patent describes low-impact recoating mechanisms like those used in the Velo3D Sapphire machine that prints with no or minimal supports, thereby reducing post-processing time and increasing productivity.

VELO.png

US Patent 10974456

Date: 2021

Assignee: Lawrence Livermore National Security LLC.

Additive manufacturing power map to mitigate defects

This patent includes methods for mapping laser power to select geometry for improved print quality via defect reduction. When implemented in-situ, this type of control mechanism offers significant potential in quality and productivity improvement.

File:LINL.png

US Patent 10583529

Date: 2020

Assignee: EOS Of North America Inc

Additive manufacturing method using a plurality of synchronized laser beams

This patent provides methods of using multiple laser beams and scanners in unison. Packaging and coordinating the optical systems is one of the greatest challenges of multi-laser systems. Intelligent packaging and control systems like that included in this patent will increase both quality and productivity.

EONA.png


Publications and Ongoing Research

These recent publications outline work being done at the forefront of LPBF-M technology.


LR3.jpg


Review of a Published Roadmap

Because there are no other publicly available roadmaps for LPBF-M, this review focuses on a straightforward project record or "roadmap" for additive manufacturing of HAYNES® 282® superalloy by laser beam powder bed fusion (PBF-LB) technology.

Source: ScienceDirect Materials and Design, Volume 204, 2021 Authors: Otto, et al

Subject: As noted, there is an absence of publicly-available roadmaps for LPBF-M. They certainly exist within the corporate knowledge banks of the machine OEMs and heavy users of the technology (i.e. Airbus, General Electric). In the absence of an exact math, a roadmap for the development of a difficult-to print nickel alloy (Haynes 282) has been selected. This superalloy has desirable mechanical and thermal properties but also has challenges that must be systematically overcome before deploying printed parts into the field. Challenges include surface crack, bulk cracks, porosity, and crystalline microstructure.

CAD model of fusion zone used for CAD model of fusion zone used for FEA.png

Key Inclusions:

Background on: general LPBF-M, past efforts via other printing technologies (EBM, DED), and the nickel alloy material Detailed descriptions of the physics-based parameters that affect build quality (hatch pattern, scan speed, chamber temp., etc.) Full list of the inspection equipment used to evaluate the printed specimen quality Standards used within the development process (i.e. ISO/ASTM XXXX) Detailed experimental setup Figures of merit specifically mentioned (volumetric energy density (J/cc) Digital modeling to predict material behavior Key publications used to generate the roadmap Graphical comparison of alternate possible solutions Overall roadmap structure. This document is less of a roadmap and more of an experimental report. While the methods used can be applied to other similar materials as a means of material parameter development, it is not sufficiently generalized to be considered useful in a broader sense. * Perhaps it could be considered a roadmap for the path traveled. OPM, DSM, other forms of system interaction Diagrams or photos for experimental setup. There are detailed text descriptions, but an image would convey the information without ambiguity.


Correlated Simulation and Benchmark File:Analysis.png Summary:

This was a highly-effective, well-executed experimental report. It provided clear and concise explanation of any required background information; and included rigorous technical detail and analysis. This could be used as a map or guide to developing future similar alloys, especially by the group conducting the experiment because the FE models they developed are correlated and ready to use WLOG. A high degree of care was taken to ensure the results were valid—with deep consideration on the DoE and testing methods. FOMs were specifically mentioned, with the focus being on laser volumetric energy density .png Financial Model[edit] In this section of the roadmap, "3LPB" signifies a fictional company seeking to develop an improved LPBF-M machine.

The financial model calculates the net present value (NPV) of the entire 3LPB project over 15 years. Since the financial information for this project does not already exist, the project direction from internal discussions is to use the financial information of Stratasys, a plausible case study within the industry, as a reference to create a parameterized financial model. Wherever possible, the inputs to the model are based on publicly available information, sometimes using as-is values, sometimes estimating the variability of parameters using approximate formulas, and in some cases making unsubstantiated estimates. 3LPB will analyze the impact on the financial model of focusing on R&D by preparing two cases: one that will serve as a baseline for the 3LPB to proceed with its financial and technological strategies as before, and the other in which the company invests more through R&D. Also, in order to perform this analysis in a more focused manner, some financial parameters are not considered.

Baseline Case

The assumption parameters used for 3LPB baseline case model are as below.

Revenue

- Initial sales is set as 521 million USD which is the sales of Stratasys in 2020.

- Sales growth rate increases 17% for first 5 years, 12% for next 5 years and 8% for last 5 years by considering the slowing growth of the technology s-curve in the market.

- Sales in each year increase based on sales growth rate.

Costs - R&D spending is set as 84 million USD which is the sales of Stratasys in 2020.

- R&D Spending is calculated as sales multiplied by R&D spending per sales. The average investment is 16.1% of sales based on Stratasys data.

- As for the baseline case, R&D spending growth rate is not considered, thus this is set as 0%.

- SG&A expenses is set as 205 million USD which is the value of Stratasys in 2020. This expense in each year is calculated by multiplying SG&A expenses by SG&A expenses rate.

- SG&A expenses rate is set as -2.1% defined based on Stratasys data.

- Operating costs is set as 591 million USD which is the value of Stratasys in 2020. This cost in each year is calculated by multiplying operating costs by operating costs rate.

- Operating costs rate is set as -1.7% defined based on Stratasys data.-

- A discount rate is defined as 8.76% based on Stratasys data.

The detailed free cash flow balance sheet for the baseline case and the resulting performance financial model are shown below.


Baseline case 3LPB.png


According to the baseline financial performance model that does not enhance R&D, overall cash flow will improve because it does not take into account the investment rate for R&D expenses. However, product quality and product performance cannot be expected to improve without higher investment in R&D. As a result, the NPV is forecasted to be $2,806 million, with the present value and cumulative present value being negative until the fourth and eighth years, respectively.

Improved Performance Through R&D Case[edit] The same financial model is used to analyze the effectiveness of investment in R&D by comparing NPV. The following changes to model inputs from the baseline financial case:

Revenue Sales growth rate is affected by the increase of R&D spending and 5% added improved sales growth rate is used. Costs R&D Spending per sales in each year increases 5% as R&D spending growth rate from the previous year.

The detailed free cash flow balance sheet for the R&D-enhanced case and the resulting improved performance financial model are shown below.

Financial Model Results in Baseline Case

R&D enhanced case 3LPB.png

According to the R&D-enhanced financial performance model, an increase in the investment rate for R&D expenses will worsen the overall cash flow. However, the sales growth rate is expected to increase due to the improvement in product quality and product performance resulting from the higher investment in R&D. The annual increase in sales is calculated by adding 5% to the sales growth rate. In this way, the increase in sales will exceed the decrease in cash flow, which has deteriorated, and the rate of increase in present value will improve, resulting in a faster positive cumulative present value and an improved NPV. As a result, NPV is expected to increase to $5,276 million, almost double the $2,806 million in the baseline case. The increase in NPV due to higher investment in R&D as a percentage of sales confirms the company's financial value.

List of R&D Projects

R & D Projects: Advances in Laser Fusion

  • Fraunhofer Institute of Laser Technology (ILT) Ultrashort Pulse Processing (2019)
    • Laser tech allowing 64-way beam splitting
    • Each beam capable of being modulated independently
    • Holds promise for faster production in future machine architecture


UPP.jpg

(source: Fraunhofer Institute ILT)

  • Fraunhofer ILT Increasing Quality Through Adaptive Process Control (2020)
    • Pulsed wave laser applied to part perimeter enables a smooth surface and increased accuracy
    • There is significant technology improvement that can be realized by increasing execution quality of existing hardware (AJ Hart 2021)


APC.jpg

R & D Projects: Advances in Materials Processing

  • Equispheres Highly-Spherical Aluminum Powder for Fast and Low-Porosity Production (2021)
    • Allows use of higher-power lasers at standard scan speeds without the introduction of porosity
    • Improved powder flowability enables reduced keyhole pore formation by minimizing the drag and effect of acoustic waves as described in Zhao's 2020 paper
    • The net result is parts with the same mechanical properties produced in up to 60% less time

EAP2.png

  • AL3D-Metal 200 Printer with Fully-Contained and Swappable Multi-Metal Cartridges(2021)
    • Allows for multi-material consolidated components
    • Enables rapid material changeover
    • Increases operator and facility safety through reduced potential for airborne particulate contamination

AL3D.jpg

(source:AL3D)


R & D Projects: Advances in Automation

  • EOS and Grenzebach Expanded Factory Automation Development Project (2020)
    • Nearly full-factory automation
    • All bill of process stages managed including setting-up, loading, unloading, unpacking, cleaning, and inventorying
    • Automation will drive greater process control, a prime area of opportunity in AM

EGA3.png

(source: EOS)

  • Additive Industries MetalFABG2 Self-Contained Production Line (2021)
    • One unit with automated prep, fuse, clean, and heat treat modules that enable continuous production
    • This second-generation machine should improve productivity and integration
    • Aligning with industry trends and demands for diagnostics and process control, this machine contains increased in-situ meltpool monitoring


MFG2.jpg

(source: Additive Industries)

Technology Strategy Statement

The strategy laid out in this roadmap will focus on improving the overall production costs associated with LBPF-M by reducing the build time and post printing processes. This will be accomplished by reducing the surface roughness to an Ra of 6 µm and decreasing the build time to 3 hours per 1,000 cm³ part.

  • Current and future work to reduce the build time will include some or all of the following:
    • Increased laser unit count
    • Increased beam splits
    • Beam shapes and intensity distributions (for example linear distribution)
    • In-situ monitoring and controls to optimize power, scan speed, and surface roughness
  • Additional ongoing work that will increase overall manufacturing time includes:
    • Automation within additive machines such as the MetalFABG2 printer presented earlier
    • Automation between machines such as the work being done by EOS
    • Elimination of supports to reduce post-processing steps


Swoosh chart 3LPB.png

Figure: Swoosh chart for future technology development.

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