Sustainable Aviation Fuel

From MIT Technology Roadmapping
Jump to navigation Jump to search

Technology Roadmap Sections and Deliverables

Our technology roadmap identifier is shown as:

  • 2SAF - Sustainable Aviation Fuel

This indicates that we are dealing with a “level 2” roadmap at the product level, where “level 1” would indicate a market level roadmap and “level 3” or “level 4” would indicate an individual technology roadmap.

Roadmap Overview

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is a strong candidate to deal with global warming in the context of aviation, using low carbon footprint resources such as biomass and waste oil. SAF has a good compatibility with the present aircraft. SAF has similar characteristics to the current jet fuel and can be mixed with it, so the architecture of aircraft does not need to change. On the other hand, another strong alternative for low carbon footprint fuel is hydrogen, which needs the rearchitecting of the aircraft because of its small density and temperature, affecting the vehicle size. The following figure coming from FAA shows SAF is the key toward the ambitious goal of "net zero CO2 emissions" in aviation.

File:Netzero aviation.jpeg Source: netzero

For producing SAF, there are several pathways depending on feedstock and the way of conversion from feedstock to SAF. However, each pathway has advantages and disadvantages such as cost, scalability, and technological readiness. This roadmap tries to identify the impactful technologies on the feasibility of SAF, and show their development plan.

Design Structure Matrix (DSM) Allocation

SAF Hierarchy.png

The above 1SAF tree shows the relationship between other technologies related to the SAF. Specifically, the enabling technologies to SAF, by either the introduction of new materials or a new process, are considered. The enabling of SAF with the novel use of existing materials are indicated with the connection of SAF to 2HEF, 2ATJ, 2FTC, 2PTF, 3BAF, 3CLS, 3CNB, and 3WCO. The enabling of SAF through the introduction of new processes are shown through SAF connections to 3ROI, 3NTF, 3HPS, 3SEX, 3FNT, 3GAS, 3FTS, 3ELS, 3ICS, and 3MES. In the DSM, the connections of SAF to Level 2 and 3 technologies are shown in the DSM. In the following section, the further details on the SAF production architecture is presented using Object-Process Methodology (OPM).

Roadmap Model using OPM

The Object-Process-Diagram (OPD) of the 2SAF - Sustainable Aviation Fuel roadmap is presented in the figure with the Object-Process-Language (OPL) below. This diagram shows the processes (Pretreating, and SAF Converting) for producing SAF with the representative pathways with different types of feedstock. We include four different SAF producing categories: 1) Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids(HEFA) with recycled oils, bio-oils, and animal fat, 2) Alcohol-to-Jet(AtJ) with cellulose, 3) Fischer-Tropsch(FT) with coal, natural gas, and biomass, and 4) Power-to-Liquid(PtL) with water and CO2.

Overview OPL1
Overview OPL2
Overview OPL3

Saf overview opd.png

Three functional zoom-up views of the OPD are shown in the following figures.

PtL Pretreating (FT pathway)

Saf zoom ptlpre opd.png

AtJ Converting

Saf zoom atj opd.png

AtJ Converting(Methanol pathway)

Saf zoom atj mt opd.png

Figures of Merit

The table below shows a list of FOMs by which sustainable aviation fuel can be assessed. The first four (shown in bold) are identified as main FoMs for sustainable aviation fuel with the following reasons: 1)one of the biggest disadvantages of SAF is its cost. 2) Currently, SAF blend ratio to the current jet fuel is up to 50%, and this blend ratio needs to be improved for net zero emission. 3) CO2 emission when producing SAF also needs to be assessed to fairly evaluate the net CO2 emission. The other five FoMs are used for the analyzing the trade-off of the technology choice used for SAF production.

Saf fom.png

The figure below is an expected SAF blending ratio improvement, assuming the net zero CO2 emission by 2050.

Saf scurve.png

As mentioned above, the cost is a key to assess SAF. We summarize the governing equations given in the literature in the following table.

Saf goveq cost.png

The following figure is the example of the SAF cost with a HEFA and a FT. The utopia point is left-bottom in those figures.

Saf cost ex.png